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It is all ideological

We have warned the reader repeatedly that the Healthcare “reform bill” is a link in the socialistic chain that President OBAMA is building. The signals were very clear early on. Every policy/legislative move or appointment was based on ideology.

The TARP money, the largest infusion in U.S. history, may have permanentely changed the relationship between the government and the governed. Loans to GM allowed the creditor, the U.S. government, to directly convert debt at face value into GM shares, unlike any other creditor except for the UAW and the Government of Canada. The existing shareholders were left holding an empty bag.  All was done based on an ideology that favors labor over capital. The Stimulus money and the continuing funding of long term unemployment are robbing the United States of its productivity edge and creating dependency on government. The latter is an intended target from a very ideological President who continues to ignore tax cuts and tax subsidies as veritable mechanisms for promoting employment. The piling of regulations is another impediment to job growth as regulation and the continuing modifications of the rules are a form of taxation and uncertainty generators. Business does not like uncertainty.

Another link was the creation of the SHADOW CABINET within the White House. The so called Tsars within the White House represent a cabinet-of-sort accountable only to President Obama without congressional and possibly judicial oversight. Mr. Kenneth Feinberg, the pay Tsar, has been rampaging through bank executive pay, while the friends of Obama make millions from a single film and Oprah makes even more from a single show with no limit on their compensation.

The Fox guarding the hen house is best exemplified in the appointment of Erik Holder and especially his Deputy: Tom Perez, who is a sanctuary city advocate, and in no hurry to enforce employer sanctions for hiring illegals. The Labor Department Secretary, Hilda Solis seems to be drinking from the same well.

But, alas, the latest appointment of Mr. Donald Berwick to head Medicare and Medicaid is perfectly consistent with the underlying philosophy that brought us ObamaCare with bribes, intimidation, and back room deals.

Dr. Berwick is not shy about expressing his ideology. He wants to “spread the wealth” that Obama promised to do during his political campaign. He seems to be instinctively opposed to having the forces of the market to solve any of the US  health care issues: do not “put your faith in market forces”  he once admonished his audience. He is unable to see a system where the decision between patient and doctor is preserved and respected:

“Young doctors and nurses should emerge from training understanding the values of standardization and the risks of too great an emphasis on individual autonomy” .  And, he believes the total health care costs for the nation will not exceed 8% (currently 17%) if we would only listen to him and have excellence in medical care defined in terms of “…….standardization to the best known method- above clinician autonomy as a rule for care”.

Dr. Berwick wants to engage in involuntary wealth distribution. The wealthy who pay the majority of the taxes in this country are already witnessing wealth redistribution through Medicare and through restricted access to Medicare. Make no mistake about it, those who are still holding on to their Medicare Cadillac plans will pay more taxes. Care will be rationed in Medicare and Medicaid as the incentives of the doctors to participate in these programs are being systematically reduced through shrinking reimbursement schedules.

Dr. Berwick’s appointment is based on this anti market philosophy. Indeed it completely confirms it. He stated that:

“Any health care funding plan that is just equitable, civilized and humane must redistribute wealth from the richer among us to the poorer and the less fortunate. Excellent health care is by definition redistribution”. The immediate implication is:  the more you redistribute, the more excellent health care will be. Dr. Berwick draws the wrong lessons from history as well as Canadian and English experiences.  Their patients’ access to health care is limited. Their Choices are limited. The survival of their system is due to international access that allows them to reduce the pressures of the system: Canadians coming to the US to pay for expensive surgeries that are being denied at home, and British patients filling entire hospitals in India and dentist offices in  Hungary.

Other Berwick speak is even more revealing and poignant. He asserts that:

“.. the decision is not whether not we will ration care- the decision is whether we will ration with our eyes open. And right now, we are doing it blindly”.

Patients ought to get ready for long lines at the doctor’s office and long lists for surgical care. Expect older patients to be denied certain surgeries because they are too sick, old, or poor.

Very soon we will all have government provided insurance, and the only way out of the lines is to go overseas.

A new company can help you escape the ravaged on health care socialism: Global Medical Excellence: www.gme-surgical.com.

When ideology trumps logic and the welfare of the citizenry everyone should be on his guard. We recommend a huge participation in the Democratic process in November 2010.  This is the most effective way to protect your pocketbook and your access to excellent health care. President Obama wanted to keep the controversy over Dr. Berwick’s appointment and views from flaring up in Congress. That is why he elected the Recess Appointment. He is conveniently overlooking the wisdom and the scrutiny of the American people. They will show up in November to provide him with the appropriate reminder.

Joe Concerned

The Taxpayers on a Bigger Hook: So much for Health Care Reform

Some see a light at the end of the tunnel as most of the health care ‘REFORMS’ are not due until after the next presidential election. We hope that the new President in 2015 will promptly conclude, and irreversibly, that the patience of the American people for corruption in the highest places has run out, and the time for dismantling the enabling law and the associated mountain of health regulations has indeed arrived. Logic dictates this, but the reality may run against logic in favor of politics, all aided and abetted by the politicians AND the insurance companies (yes!). America is hopeful that all the incumbents that accepted, unashamedly, bribes in different forms would have been retired, Nelson and Stupak especially, by the will of the people or by their own sense of shame! But this may not be enough!

Before we cork off the Champagne we must realize that the light at the end of the tunnel may well be a mirage or a freight train. We cite only two cases.

We can start, however, with some preliminary indictments. Much of the Health Care law was based on false numbers. There will be huge deficits associated with it and the taxpayers will have either to pay up or lobby to repeal the law. No matter, our grand children are forever saddled by the cost of health care up to 2015 in the form of associated, rationality-busting budget deficits.

A constant in recent political history is that what government gives, it may not be able to take away. Abortions funded by federal money may well be the first irreversible new budget item. Should OBAMA find a way to thwart the Stupak compromise this may well become another budget busting item that will spill into the streets, and Congress may not be able to reverse it. Imagine, similarly, congress trying to take away the drug benefits from seniors.

Another issue is even more ominous and is more likely to become permanent. Recently all states were faced with two choices: take the money and create your own high risk pool (exchange), or participate in an obligatory pool for the seriously ill run by the Federal government. It can safely be anticipated that the Insurance companies that were so systematically vilified by the Obama Administration, will lobby to keep either pool on the books. This allows them to permanently change the pool of clients seeking to buy health insurance by dumping as many of the undesirable candidates (those with preexisting conditions) into these pools. This will simply add large numbers to the upward secular trend in health care costs. The lobbyists for insurance companies are likely to win this battle. The life of insurance companies will become less complicated.

Politicians is their rush to do “good” and be responsive to the health care needs of the “poor” and the ‘seriously ill’ will continue to redefine the pool in a way that forces much of the health care cost of the seriously ill unto government, and allow the insurance companies to cherry pick their clientele, all in the name of ‘bending the cost curve”.

But the cost curve has already started its steep rise. The forecasts are for even faster increases. No bending!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The pools whether run by the state of the Federal government are likely to become a fiscal nightmare.

This is how they work: states that do not want to run their own exchanges may opt out.  But this is not free. They will have to agree to extend “Medicaid to more of their citizens, including all uninsured persons with 133% to 200% of the poverty level”.

But states may opt out of Medicaid entirely, but their citizens cannot. They must continue to pay the Medicaid taxes no matter what the states do in terms of high risk Health Exchanges.

But providing catastrophic insurance is required. The states will receive some subsidies from the Federal government until 2015 if they are running their own exchanges. Arnold decided to do this for California. He was not thinking about the post 2015 costs. He simply was thinking about the here and now and closing the budget deficit, if only slightly.

This is the consequence of a policy that seeks to underwrite the absurd in the hope that “if things will not work out or we will simply borrow the money”. This is the deficit addiction factor.

But Arnold failed to read the fine print. The Federal government will have its hands deep into the state pockets as it will be able to impose the contents (the coverage) of the state run insurance program. No sooner than 2015 comes around plastic surgery for a person considering their face too “ugly” to sustain emotionally may well be considered a catastrophic case.

Further, the Federal government will be able not only to propose but also to dispose. States must make sure that all of their citizens have health insurance. Catastrophic insurance is clearly the most expensive, thus more likely to be a candidate for major subsidies by the state or by the Federal government. Sooner than you know the subsidies will apply to those who may well be earning over 300% of the federal Poverty Level as no one “should go bankrupt because of health care costs”.

The final results are very predictable: massive increases in health care costs with the insurance companies standing on the sideline when it comes to catastrophic care. Should those companies smile too broadly, they will be subjected to additional taxation based on the expense to premium ratios and/or have their compensation schemes ever more closely supervised, etc., all in the name of fairness.

The taxpayer will be ever more on the hook no matter the outcome of the presidential elections and no matter who will collect the taxes: the State or the Federal Government.

Over Indulgence: Buffets and Health Care!

Economists have for long argued based on elementary psychology that the maximization of one’s happiness (welfare), given the goods consumed are not inferior (ones that produce negative happiness) and that the consumer never gets enough of a good thing, would lead to ever higher consumption perhaps up to the point of getting sick. One would expect, therefore, that the behavior of the consumer standing before a buffet will be different from one in a restaurant looking at a menu to order a la carte. In the buffet case the eyes will play a major role even to the point of forgetting the capacity of the stomach, and the greed factor will be very pronounced.

The same reasoning applies to health care if for one price or even no price (the subsidized poor) the health care consumer is presented by the equivalent of a buffet instead of just one item (service or procedure).

Let us explore those connections  between food and health care using basic knowledge and logic about human behavior while noting that differences across individuals may well exist but only in the degree.

We start with the basic reasoning and natural reactions of customers making choices in a buffet situation where there is a fixed price of entry:

  • Once the customer pays the fixed price of admission, all items on the buffet become immediately a free good: the marginal cost of which is zero
  • Although every item on the buffet now has zero cost, the customer is likely to consume those items that are typically the most expensive in a non-buffet (A La Carte) setting. One would choose lox or caviar and may likely down them with Champagne. The more expensive the champagne the greater the indulgence
  • The customer is not alone before the buffet. He will have the opportunity to observe others making a choice (indulging). That may encourage him to outdo the others. Soon he will be eating for the sake of eating: just another bite or one Chocolate Mousse. He will even forget that he is diabetic.
  • The customer will drink more than normal if only to be able to down the excessive food consumption. Hell! It is only once in a long while that I get the chance to do this, so he tells himself. He is lying to himself as there is no natural limit to the number of times he will buy buffets. His will has already been bent.
  • The actual cost of the food Vs the perceived cost of the food rises with the amount he eats. The former is fixed and the other is variable and is a function  of the quantity consumed. The more he eats, the more ‘value’ he will feel he is getting from the fixed price of admission.
  • Despite the strong likelihood of excessive consumption, some may well hide some food items in their napkins in order to take them outside the restaurant. This is so even the typical buffet would have signs stating that this is forbidden.
Now let us look at this situation form the restaurant owner’s (the supplier of the food and the architect of the environment and how the buffet table is decorated) perspective:
  • The restaurant owner is never happy about those who eat excessively or fill up plates with most of their contents headed to the garbage can. But, this is all figured out in the price. This is to say that the admission price is higher than normal when clients behave normally- no wasteful consumption because everyone is presumed to be rational and sensitive to the environment and the needs of those who may never get the opportunity to buy a buffet ticket unless subsidized by someone.
But, no matter the price adjustment, the restaurant owner is likely to take measure aimed at minimizing costs and waste. Here are some of them:
  1. Reducing the offering of the buffet is an option, but the size of the offering will have to be reduced correspondingly and soon the buffet will look like a regular meal and the original business concept will have to be modified. That may well be the death nail of the restaurant.
  2. Another option is to charge per trip to the buffet as some European restaurants do. Yet another is to reduce the size of the plate so you will carry less with you every time you go to the buffet. The plate could be handed to the customer at the restaurant entrance and everyone will pay according to the size of the plate. These modifications will invariably irritate the client. The consequences are that the lowest cost producer of buffets, with the greatest of diversity and the least of restrictions, will end up making the most money and charging more in the process. He will enjoy at least a local monopoly. Soon he will raise prices.
The net results would, therefore be, a change in the market structure, less choices for the clients by rationing the food, or higher prices or a combination thereof.

Now let us assume that the restaurant owner is distributing free TUMS at the way out. Clients will take them whether they need them or not, just in case. Notice that the TUMS may be distributed on the way out, not in, as the latter will encourage even more indulgence.

It can be safely concluded from the above that a buffet will inevitable lead to adjustment on the supply and or the demand side, or both.

So what does this have to do with health care?

Obama care effectively reduces to an offer of a health care buffet. If you put everything on it and do not restrain the demand in any way, patients will overconsume, including those who are healthy and do not really need medical care. Some remember stories about elderly folks who go frequently to doctors simply because they are bored and have the time to do so.

The inevitable alternative is to restrict access, especially to the most expensive items on the buffet. This translates into less surgeries approved even for those who really need them, increased co-payments, and definitely increased taxes on those who consume responsibly, or have the necessary wealth to keep them away from the buffet altogether.

Also likely are restrictions on prescription drugs. Many patients buy medicine like cough medicine because they like the taste, or it can be used for a HIGH. The government in all cases simply pays the bills. It can only keep its hands in the pockets of the taxpayers for so long, however.

The new health care legislation will move us into a socialized health insurance: government paying for all care delivered by the private sectors, and may well lead us to Socialized medicine where doctors and hospitals work and draw salaries form the government. Very restrictive buffets will result, and access will be restricted as the government will need to do so in order to maintain and open buffet lest it possesses an unlimited capacity to tax.

Let us now examine the Massachusetts health care plan which shares many similarities with the Obama model.

The Wall Street Journal editorialized about the latest developments in Massachusetts on April 9, 2010. Health care premiums in Massachusetts have been rising at a much higher rate than the national average since 2004 when the Mass. Universal Care was signed into law by then Governor Mitt Romney. Yet, three of the largest health plans providers in Massachusetts, all not for profit, had $100 million in collective losses. The answer form the current governor is to make the situation worse: premium (price) control. This economic anomaly never works even in wartime. What led to it is the elimination of ‘health status and preexisting conditions’ as bases for buying insurance. The net results are that everyone who can and needs to is gaming the system: buy insurance only when you need, e.g., a surgery or a child delivery, and walk away shortly thereafter. The cost to insurance company in relation to the premium will rise enormously as a consequence.

The insurance companies are now in court trying to reverse the governor’s decision. Meanwhile no one can buy insurance. This is a scenario that is likely to play to on the national scene providing the perfect pretext for government to take over health care insurance companies thereby nationalizing health care delivery in the United States. As a consequence, Obama’s new law that tilts the balance “from liberty to equality” in health care access becomes complete. Sadly, this is all happening in a democratic society.

The resulting pressures on the US health care system are enormous: excluded people form expensive care, long lines for surgeries, age limits for certain type of surgeries, etc. The safety valves to such an outcome may well lie outside the national boundaries as the Canadian and the British have discovered. The US health care system will have to outsource the expensive surgeries and procedures thus opening the doors for medical tourism companies that look everywhere in the world for the best care at the lowest price. Global Medical Excellence is one such company.

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